Things are still very busy in the Atlantic as we head through the weekend. We have newly designated TS Kirk way out in the deep tropics and we will need to keep an eye on this system over the coming days as it travels westward towards the Lesser Antilles.

Meanwhile, invest area 98L which is situated to the south of Bermuda is likely to try and push west before turning northward near the NC Outer Banks next week. The pattern is just not very favorable for much to come from this system which, by the way, is not the remnant low pressure area associated with what was once hurricane Florence. We will certainly keep a close eye on the situation but overall, I think it will be no more than a pesky coastal storm for early next week and that’s about all.

Check out my latest video discussion for more in-depth analysis of all the goings on in the tropics.

Rivers are rising still while others have reached their highest levels and are finally coming back down. The recovery process is well underway and people trying to help in parts of NC and SC will run in to challenges as flood waters evolve over the coming days. Fortunately, there are no signs of any rain threats anytime soon but the tropics do remain active and in fact, I think that October could be quite busy.

Here is my latest video discussion which includes an updated look at local river flooding as well as how to access that information on your own.

We will be watching the remnants of Florence for possible development well out in to the Atlantic over the next few days but otherwise, the tropics are going to be nice and calm for the time being. It’s still peak time of the season so, of course, we will see areas pop up here and there that bear watching but the overall pattern is not one that supports prolific development. I do see an opportunity for a secondary burst of activity towards the end of the month and in to mid-October. We will see….

Here is my latest video discussion:

For thousands of people in North and South Carolina, the slow road to recovery from hurricane Florence has begun or will begin soon. The flooding continues, of course, and will take several days to abate but for now, the rain has quit, the sun is out and people can begin to rebuild what Florence took away.

Fortunately, the tropics will be in a lull state for a little while as the pattern re-sets itself for a potentially busy October. Water temps are still plenty warm and in many areas of the Atlantic Basin, those sea surface temperatures are running above the long term average.

I am back home in Wilmington, NC where my house has power but no Internet via cable modem. So, I am using my mobile hotspot, a great device to have – especially when critical work needs to get done.

Here is my latest video discussion posted just a short time ago. I will have more here, including a look back at how well this pattern that produced Florence was predicted ahead of time in my blog update tomorrow.

My latest video discussion concerning the aftermath of Florence and a look ahead to late September in to October – a time period when we see a ramping up of activity in the western portions of the Atlantic Basin.