The east Pacific hurricane season began on May 15 and has already had one named storm: Alvin. It was fairly short-lived and moved away from the Mexican coastline, dying out without any impact to land.
Today, the NHC is monitoring an area much close to the coast that has high potential of developing further in the coming days.
The area of interest is labeled 92-E where the “E” stands for “East Pacific”. The numbers run from 90-99 for areas of investigation such as this disturbance.
Forecast models are varied in terms of where this system may end up. A majority of them indicate that the system will move inland over southern Mexico as the week progresses. The main impact appears to be heavy rain fall as the intensity guidance is only modest with strengthening – keeping the disturbance as a tropical storm. Water temps are plenty warm in the region but the close proximity to land should be enough to keep it from becoming too strong. However, torrential rain fall is a real possibility and interests in the region should closely monitor the progress of this developing weather feature.
Eslewhere, the tropics are generally quiet with no other significant areas of development seen in satellite imagery today.
The Atlantic hurricane season begins on Saturday and we may actually have something to discuss in the western Caribbean before the weekend. Stay tuned.