Tropical depression two is making an attempt at becoming a tropical storm before finally moving inland over Mexico within the next 24 hours. However, time is running out and the depression is not extremely well organized which should limit its potential for strengthening.
A Hurricane Hunter crew is en route to check the depression later this afternoon and their on-site info will give forecasters a much closer look at the structure as well as the winds in the system.
Whether or not it becomes TS Barry, the main impact will be heavy rain and some increase in winds and seas in the region. Fortunately, there is simply not much water to work with and this will limit any significant strengthening prior to landfall.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic, a vigorous tropical wave is passing through the Lesser Antilles and towards Puerto Rico and vicinity. This wave will bring showers, a few thunderstorms and locally gusty winds as it moves through. None of the global model guidance develops this wave as conditions are not favorable right now.
In the east Pacific, all is quiet here but I suspect that within the next week or so we will see an increase in activity here as a more favorable upward motion pattern begins to set in. I’ll discuss this in more detail in tomorrow’s blog post.