Other than a weak area of low pressure over southeast North Carolina today, the tropics are of little concern this weekend. The NHC did issue an outlook for the small low pressure area over the coastal waters of the Carolinas this morning but it is not going to do much more than bring some periods of rain and perhaps an increase in winds. Pressures are fairly high in the area and the low center is over land now and this will preclude any further development from taking place.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, all is quiet for now. None of the global models indicate any significant chances for development for at least the next week. Once we get in to July, a favorable MJO pulse may set off an active period but we’ll deal with that when and if it comes.
In the east Pacific, the NHC is keeping tabs on invest areas 94-E and 95-E. Both are situated well to the south and west of Mexico and pose no threat to land. All of the available computer model guidance suggests that at least one of these systems will go on to become a tropical storm early next week. Fortunately, there is no indication that either syustem will impact land directly though an increase in surf is possible along portions of the Mexican coastline – depending on how strong either one of the areas gets as they develop.
Enjoy the weekend, it will be a little wet and breezy for parts of the Carolinas but elsewhere, things look great for the first full weekend of summer. I’ll have more here tomorrow.