The NHC began issuing advisories on TS Franklin in the NW Caribbean Sea late last night. Since that time, the storm has strengthened and now has winds of 60 mph with a pressure of 999 mb. The overall appearance and organization of the storm suggests it is strengthening quickly and it would not be a surprise to me at all if Franklin becomes a hurricane before landfall along the Yucatan later tonight.
Due to fairly strong high pressure over the northern Gulf of Mexico region, Franklin in not likely to gain much latitude which means it will track WNW across the Yucatan and in to the Bay of Campeche as the week progresses. Interests in Texas have little to worry about as the pattern does not look to change much which will keep the would-be hurricane well to the south of Brownsville and vicinity.
On the other hand, this means that some location, likely between Veracruz and Tampico, will get the brunt of the impacts from Franklin later on Wednesday and in to Thursday. Obviously, the stronger the storm/hurricane is, the worse the impacts will be. We will focus on on that after the storm crosses the Yucatan tonight and tomorrow.
I go over all of this in detail as part of my video discussion concerning the tropical storm. Check it out via the link below:
M. Sudduth 10:45 AM ET Aug 7