1:15 PM Friday, October 20
The weekend will feature a quiet conditions across the Atlantic basin. However, this time of year, the Western Caribbean is often a breeding ground for potential tropical storm is and hurricanes.
Right now, there’s nothing to be concerned with but that may change over the next week to 10 days. Overall, the consensus of most of the global computer models is to lower pressures in the Western Caribbean by the end of the month.
It is also worth noting that a favorable period of upward motion, also known as the MJO, is forecast to develop across the eastern Pacific and into the Western Caribbean by early November.
The bottom line is that it is still very much hurricane season and water temperatures can easily support intense hurricanes. Remember, it’s not just intense hurricanes that we need to worry about – even tropical storms can dump heavy rain fall that ultimately leads to catastrophic flooding events.
We just need to keep an eye on the region over the next couple of weeks to see what may or may not happen.
Check out my latest video discussion posted below.