I have posted an update based on the overnight runs of the GFS and the ECMWF models. Here, I take a look at what seems like pretty good agreement with the potential track of this system but the intensity is a different story. The GFS is considerably weaker than the ECMWF and I am not sure why.
I will post another video discussion later this afternoon once the morning model guidance becomes available for analysis. Also note that the NHC has increased the probablity of development to 90% both in the short term (48h) and long term (120h).
M. .Sudduth 8: 20 AM ET May 25