About Mark Sudduth

Greetings! I am Mark Sudduth, the founder and editor of HurricaneTrack.com. The site began in 1999 as a way to post info concerning tropical storms and hurricanes for any interested visitors. Little did I know how big it would become in the years since. Now, we have millions of visitors from all over the world who have come to rely on the site as a no non-sense, tell it like it is resource for all things hurricane related. We are supported by a combination of corporate sponsors and our loyal Client Services members who subscribe to premium content on our sister site, premium.hurricanetrack.com. I am married with six energetic and intelligent children and live in southeast North Carolina. I graduated UNC-Wilmington in 1995 with a BA in Geography and have studied the effects of hurricanes on our society ever since.

Watching 98L closely

Invest area 98L has become more organized today with an increase in convection or thunderstorm activity. This will help to give it a boost and could possibly lead to the development of a tropical depression or tropical storm before it turns north and eventually away from the Mid-Atlantic coast.

The NHC indicates an even split of 50/50 for development chances and mentions stronger upper level winds that are forecast to move in to the region by Wednesday. I think that between now and then, we could very well see a tropical storm form from this system which does have some remnant energy from hurricane Florence mixed in to its “DNA”. Whether or not the NHC calls it Florence again remains to be seen – I am glad I don’t have to make that decision, that’s for sure.

The bottom line is that interests along the NC coast, especially the Outer Banks, need to watch this system closely throughout the next 2-3 days. I expect an increase in showers with periods of heavy rain along with gusty winds from time to time. With the recent full moon, any onshore flow will just make high tide periods even worse.

I am actually heading back to Rodanthe tomorrow to pick up my camera box that was set out almost two weeks ago now for the arrival of Florence. I guess it will now be a gear retrieval/field mission combo.

As for the rest of the tropics, we have very little to worry about in terms of impacts to land over the next few days although we will need to monitor the progress of Kirk’s remnant energy as we may see it also make a comeback before reaching the Lesser Antilles.

I highlight all of this and more in my latest video discussion below.

A lot to track but nothing to worry about for now

The tracking map sure is busy these days with newly formed subtropical storm Leslie (this basically means that it is a larger, more spread out storm than a more typical tropical storm would be) as well as TS Kirk and plenty of other features to monitor over the coming days.

With all of this activity, we are quite lucky that there are no areas posing a threat to land for the time being. The only issue I see is TS Kirk which could bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the Lesser Antilles as the week progresses.

Meanwhile, a new tropical storm is likely to form in the eastern Pacific but it too will be far from land and not pose any threat for impacts.

I have limited connectivity here at my home office with no broadband Internet access, just the use of my Verizon mobile hotspot which is just about out of pre-paid data…so, I must keep things short and to the point. That being said, I am able to produce my video discussions and embed them here and share on social media (yaaay). Here is my latest:

 

Tropics busy but nothing stands out as being threatening

Things are still very busy in the Atlantic as we head through the weekend. We have newly designated TS Kirk way out in the deep tropics and we will need to keep an eye on this system over the coming days as it travels westward towards the Lesser Antilles.

Meanwhile, invest area 98L which is situated to the south of Bermuda is likely to try and push west before turning northward near the NC Outer Banks next week. The pattern is just not very favorable for much to come from this system which, by the way, is not the remnant low pressure area associated with what was once hurricane Florence. We will certainly keep a close eye on the situation but overall, I think it will be no more than a pesky coastal storm for early next week and that’s about all.

Check out my latest video discussion for more in-depth analysis of all the goings on in the tropics.

As recovery efforts continue, we must also continue to watch the tropics

Rivers are rising still while others have reached their highest levels and are finally coming back down. The recovery process is well underway and people trying to help in parts of NC and SC will run in to challenges as flood waters evolve over the coming days. Fortunately, there are no signs of any rain threats anytime soon but the tropics do remain active and in fact, I think that October could be quite busy.

Here is my latest video discussion which includes an updated look at local river flooding as well as how to access that information on your own.

Tropics taking a bit of a “time out” for now

We will be watching the remnants of Florence for possible development well out in to the Atlantic over the next few days but otherwise, the tropics are going to be nice and calm for the time being. It’s still peak time of the season so, of course, we will see areas pop up here and there that bear watching but the overall pattern is not one that supports prolific development. I do see an opportunity for a secondary burst of activity towards the end of the month and in to mid-October. We will see….

Here is my latest video discussion: