The area of showers and thunderstorms stretched out over portions of the Gulf of Mexico has brough some rain to the Florida peninsula but that’s about it. The area is also known as “Invest 91L” which is the first stage of a potential tropical cyclone’s life in the computer world. Why? The NHC designates areas of interest with a number, 90-99 and the letter “L” for Atlantic. This is done to initiate model guidance, allocate resources such as satellite floater images and possible recon missions to the system of interst. And, instead of calling every disturbance a system of interest, this numbering/letter system is used. Once we reach 99L, the pattern will begin again with 90L. I have a feeling we’ll see these invest numbers repeated a few times this season.
As for 91L and its future, let’s say it does not look too bright in terms of potential additional development. Upper level winds and the close proximity of mid-level dry air should keep the area from becoming more than it is now: a nuisance. It will spread additional rain over portions of the Florida peninsula for the remainder of the week before finally moving to the northeast, across Florida and in to the Atlantic. Just keep an eye on the radar in your area as these tropical downpours can be quite heavy and if you’re not used to them, you can get caught off guard, especially in traffic situations.
The rest of the torpics, including the east Pacific, are nice and quiet this fourth day of June.
I’ll have another blog post tomorrow.