Isaac looks pretty ragged tonight with deep convection really on the downturn. On the other hand, it seems to be trying to develop a central core which could lead to strengthening if it weren’t for the lack of deep convection. Isaac has been quite an interesting storm to forecast and it has kept many of us on edge.
The biggest threat coming up for the Greater Antilles will be flooding. Isaac is forecast to pass over Haiti and then eastern Cuba this weekend. We will hope for the best but know how bad the flooding can be.
Since the storm is so large, it will spread rain and squally weather up in to Florida this weekend. Since there has already been way too much rain in portions of Florida already in recent weeks, Isaac will only add to the water in the ground and it is possible that this will be a serious flooding event if nothing else. Keep this in mind if you live in Florida and have seen a lot of rain as of late.
After Isaac emerges over the Florida Straits, the clock will really begin to tick, so to speak. It is this time frame when we could see it either strengthen and do so quickly or never recover after passing over the Antilles. It is for this reason, the uncertainty in the future intensity, that residents all along the coast of Florida and areas inland as well, need to be prepared and stay informed. I suggest you get a NOAA Weather Radio and use it for local weather statements as Isaac rolls past.
The official forecast calls for a landfall in the Panhandle next week. We’ll see how that changes over the coming days but people in that region should be already thinking about what actions to take. Don’t try to “wait and see” if Isaac is strong enough to convince you it means business. By the time it does and you react, it may be too late to make much difference. Remember the size of the storm here too- if it gets strong, it will impact a lot of people.
I will decide tomorrow morning what area of Florida my team and I will begin coverage from. I am leaning towards the Panhandle area so that we can be absolutely ready for the assumed stronger landfall this coming week. We’ll have a live stream on the homepage in place of the blog. That stream will be free through Ustream and will run up until a certain point and then we must use the live video for our private clients- our subscribers. They pay the bills and we appreciate that and so we must allocate our resources towards taking care of them with the live video feeds. If you’re interested in signing up, we have room for about 150 more members right now until we have to limit access to preserve the integrity of the service. We cannot handle 1000s of subscribers at once – it would just get too overwhelming and we can’t handle individual questions etc. during our live coverage. So check out Client Services in the link over in the right-hand column. It supports our work and gives you something absolutely unique and innovative in return. We’ll also be posting video blogs to the new HurricaneTrack app for iPhone. Our Android version is not ready yet. Hopefully we can fund the completion of the Android version after we get back from the Isaac mission.
I’ll have another blog post here in the morning and then it will be time to hit the road and begin the Isaac field work.