The calendar says it’s early October which means fall weather, football and MLB playoff time. It does not, however, say that hurricane season is over; quite the contrary – we have quite a bit going on.
In the Atlantic, hurricane Leslie continues to spin out in the middle of the open ocean adding to the ACE score for the season. It will not directly impact land although swells and high seas generated could impact places such as Bermuda and perhaps the Canadian Maritimes.
Our next area to monitor closely will be the Gulf of Mexico as a large and broad area of low pressure, also called a gyre, slowly organizes as it moves north from the western Caribbean Sea. The NHC gives it a 40% chance of developing as we get in to next week. It’s something to watch for sure.
Meanwhile, in the east Pacific, hurricane Sergio will likely turn back towards the north and east with time and could pose a flood risk to the Baja, northern Mexico and eventually the SW USA. This is more than a week out but it certainly bears watching.
I cover these topics and more in my most recent video discussion posted below.