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UPDATED: 12:50 pm EDT, July 1, 2009
MAJOR OUTBREAK OF DRY, STABLE AIR IN EAST ATLANTIC AS EAST PACIFIC IS ABOUT TO POP
SAL is back. In this case, the Saharan Air Layer. It is a blast of warm, dusty and very stable air that comes off of Africa and extends out in to the Atlantic. Check out the link below from the CMISS site. It shows very clearly the strong SAL outbreak. You can track its progress over the coming days as the air mass migrates westward. What does it mean for tropical development? A solid cap placed on convection in the east Atlantic- at least for now. While there is a forecast for less than average dust outbreaks over the Atlantic, we can expect to see bursts like the one today. It is fascinating to see and modern satellite technology allows easy tracking of these large scale features.
The Atlantic Basin is and will be very quiet for many days to come. No worries at all for coastal areas for this coming big weekend.
In the east Pacific, all is quiet for now but it appears that several areas of development may pop up in the coming days. The ECMWF model in particular is showing a string of storms developing in about 3 to 10 days. The good news is that it would appear that these potential developments would be far off the coast of Mexico and moving generally away from land. It is amazing to see computer model forecasts for something that is not there now, but very well could be several days out. We'll see. The east Pacific is primed for development right now so it would make sense at least.
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