The only area of interest in the Atlantic Basin is 90L, situated way down deep in the southern Gulf of Mexico.
It is a small weather feature but has a chance, perhaps due in part to its small size, that it could become a tropical depression later today. Upper level winds are not especially favorable but it appears that some deeper convection is developing near the center. Water temps are quite warm and so it won’t take much for it to acquire enough organization to perhaps become the first tropical depression of the 2014 season.
The main issue has been and will continue to be rain. Fortunately, with the area being quite small, the impact to land will be limited. Nevertheless, heavy rain over portions of Central America will be something to contend with as this system festers in the Bay of Campeche.
Most computer guidance suggests that it will eventually move inland over southern Mexico, probably well south of Tampico. Even if it is able to attain tropical depression, or even become a tropical storm, it will not have much time to strengthen before upper level winds become too hostile and land interaction becomes a factor. Again, the main impact will be heavy rain and this can cause loss of life and damage due to mudslides and flash flooding.
Elsewhere, the Atlantic and east Pacific are nice and quiet as we enter the first full weekend of the hurricane season.
I will have an update here early this evening once more data becomes available on 90L – including the chance that recon will fly in to investigate.
M. Sudduth 10:11 AM ET June 6