ECMWF indicates strengthening Hermine making landfall in FL panhandle

12z ECMWF

12z ECMWF (courtesy of tropicaltidbits.com)

The morning run of the ECMWF model indicates that tropical storm Hermine  Will gradually strengthen up until landfall near the Central panhandle of Florida. Take a look at this image valid Friday morning showing strong energy or vorticity in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  This indicates a fairly well developed tropical cyclone and it is possible that Hermine will be a hurricane at landfall.

Right now, the biggest impact still appears to be storm surge flooding and this will encompass a fairly large area of the Florida Panhandle from Apalachicola beyond the Big Bend area.  Obviously the stronger the storm becomes the higher the storm surge is likely to be. Residents in the area of the hurricane watch need to be preparing for hurricane conditions there’s no doubt about it;  plan for a hurricane and don’t wait to see what happens.

I am currently in Savannah on my way to Lake City, Florida. I will post a full video discussion this evening.

M. Sudduth 3:50pm ET Aug 31

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TD9 upgraded to a tropical stormHermine

The NHC has officially upgraded the depression tropical storm intensity. There are no changes to the forecast track at this time. However, morning model  guidance suggests a more westward adjustment to the track is coming.

I will have a full video discussion posted early this evening. I am currently in South Carolina on my way to Florida.

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