Irma making landfall across the Lower Keys

Updated: 8:45 AM ET Sunday, Sept 10

Irma is now making landfall and crossing the Lower Keys of Florida. The winds are well in excess of hurricane force with a storm surge moving in with it.

Our live weather station and cam were knocked off the air just a few moments ago – in fact, everything coming out of the Lower Keys was lost – all Facebook live feeds, etc. from storm chasers and others. It happens – the network can only endure so much.

We do have two camera systems running farther up the coast – one in Marco Island and one in Naples. Those will last all day today and in to tonight – network conditions permitting.

I have posted a new video discussion with continuing updates of the potential for storm surge flooding along the SW and W coasts of Florida over the next couple of days.

I am in Miami right now but will be heading towards Cedar Key and the Big Bend area later to set up additional equipment.

Zack Fradella, our colleague in New Orleans, will have another video and blog post around 2pm ET this afternoon.

M. Sudduth


Irma, Jose and Katia all part of a very busy peak time of the hurricane season

Updated: 12:15 pm ET Friday Sept 8

It is close to the peak of the hurricane season and the warmer than normal SST profile for the Atlantic Basin is now showing what it can do. We have three powerful hurricanes, all of which will impact land in one way or another. We have not seen a season like this in quite some time – and we have a long way to go yet.

I am in Florida preparing to set out equipment for monitoring the impacts of Irma over the weekend. I plan to put live cameras and two weather stations (wind and air pressure sensors) throughout the southern part of the peninsula. Exactly where I set up the equipment remains to be seen but I have some ideas already.

To follow the live cams and weather data, you will need our iOS app developed for iPhone. It is called Hurricane Impact. It is available on the Apple App Store for $3.99 and the funding helps to support my job in this effort to bring you the best hurricane information and field updates possible.

We also have a subscription service available called HurricaneTrack Insider – see the ad for it on the right column. All of our content is posted there as well exclusively for our members – some have been with us for over 12 years.

I have produced an in-depth video discussion covering Irma, Jose and Katia. Please give it a watch as there is some important information about how to find out what to expect in your LOCAL area. The next update will posted here early this evening from our colleague in New Orleans, meteorologist Zack Fradella.

M. Sudduth


GFS vs ECMWF Video Post Added

Updated: 2:45 AM ET Sept 8

Just added a new video discussion comparing the latest runs of the GFS vs the ECMWF models. I am off to bed – meteorlogist Zack Fradella will handle the early morning video and blog post. I will be back in around 11am ET with an update and plans of the day of setting up equipment around S Florida, etc.

M. Sudduth


New video posted concerning Irma, Jose and Katia as tropics become super busy

12:15 AM ET Sept 8

I am in New Smyrna Beach preparing for the plan of attack to set out equipment in the path of powerful hurricane Irma. There is so much to address – sometimes video truly is the best method.

Note: I will post a shorter video around 2:30 am to compare the latest model output from the GFS and the ECMWF

M. Sudduth

For Florida and the Southeast U.S., track will literally mean everything

Updated: 9 AM ET Sept 7

Hurricane Irma is now moving just north of the Dominican Republic as a category five on the Saffir-Simpson wind scale. I suspect that it will weaken some as it has some disruption of the core and overall circulation due to the proximity to the Greater Antilles (Hispaniola and Cuba). However, in another couple of days, Irma will be passing over some of the warmest, highest ocean heat content around and could be the strongest it has ever been.

The track forecast is complicated not so much because of any great spread in the models but because every mile will make a difference in terms of where the greatest impacts are felt.

For the next couple of days, the Turks & Caicos along with the remainder of much of the Bahamas will feel the brunt of Irma’s fury – again, exactly where the core crosses will determine the which areas receive the highest wind and storm surge.

I am about to head out from Wilmington, NC to Florida to possibly set up specialized equipment there to monitor the conditions. I have produced a video discussion going over the latest model output from the ECMWF and GFS – with interesting and important comparions/contrasts between the two.

I will be streaming live as I travel via this link:

Live Cam from HurricaneTrack Chevy Tahoe

M. Sudduth