9:30 AM ET Thursday, October 5
The NHC upgraded the depression to tropical storm Nate via their 8am ET intermediate advisory. The storm is about to cross over the eastern portions of Nicaragua and Honduras and then emerge in to the very warm waters of the northwest Caribbean Sea. From there, Nate could strengthen but how much depends on how well its inner core can consolidate. There are a lot of competing weather systems in the region and this makes the overall forecast very complex.
I have posted a video discussion that covers these topics and more – check it out below. Note: I will post another video update around 5pm ET this afternoon.