Hurricane Season 2019 Begins

It is June 1, 2019 and we have 183 days ahead of us that will define what happens this season. Will it be busy? Slow? Who will be impacted? These are all questions that cannot be answered today but those answers will come as time progresses.

I have posted my first video discussion of the season. In it, I go over some climatology as well as a look at an area of interest in the Bay of Campeche (Invest 91L).

And…my new 2018 documentary is now available via YouTube through purchase with PayPal. I am awaiting Amazon Video to publish it on that platform – should be any day now! Visit this page to learn more about the YouTube edition.

NHC Issues Special Tropical Weather Outlook for System off Southeast Coast

It is May 1 and the official start to the Atlantic hurricane season is still a month away. However, as we’ve seen in recent years, May is apparently not too early for something to try to develop in the fairly warm waters of the western Atlantic.

The NHC issued a special Tropical Weather Outlook this morning concerning a loosely-organized area of showers and thunderstorms in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Not to worry, it has little chance of developing in to something of any significant concern but it will bring heavy rain and periodic gusty winds to portions of the Bahamas and eventually the Florida peninsula over the coming days.

Here is my take on this system via video blog:

After Michael, we need a break

Invest 94L over the western Caribbean Sea will move west and in to Central America by tomorrow with minimal development expected. However, it is likely to bring heavy rain and the threat of flooding to the region.

Invest 94L over the western Caribbean Sea will move west and in to Central America by tomorrow with minimal development expected. However, it is likely to bring heavy rain and the threat of flooding to the region.

Now that hurricane Michael has left a legacy that will be remembered for generations to come, the tropics are hopefully going to give us a much needed period of rest.

We do have an area to watch, however, in the climatologically favored western Caribbean Sea – invest 94L. The NHC indicates that it might become a tropical depression before eventually moving in to Central America tomorrow. The main threat here will be heavy rain which can lead to mudslides, flash floods and loss of life.

Otherwise, I see nothing within the long term models to suggest any upticks in activity for the Atlantic Basin over the coming week to 10 days.

On another note, I am back home in Wilmington, NC after an indescribable experience in Mexico Beach, Florida as part of the historic event that unfolded across the region with hurricane Michael. I have an incredible amount of data and video that will be used to unlock some of the secrets of this unprecedented hurricane. It will take time to process it all but rest assured, I am working on it. There is much to learn and through the use of technology, I was able to capture never-before-seen HD video of violent wind, storm surge and the immediate aftermath at point blank range. This will be very important in terms of what we see and discover about the inner core of an intense hurricane. I will keep you posted as I extract the science from the video.

I also want to express my gratitude to all that helped me get through this harrowing experience. My success is your success – we did it together. Whether it was the financial support to make things possible with funding needs or back-end help to ensure the site and our app worked flawlessly; it all mattered and made for the most successful field mission of my career. Thank you.

Hurricane Michael will bring severe impacts to wide area

Michael has not strengthened yet but appears to be ready to do so and is likely to become a major hurricane before the day is out. This is the last full day that folks along the coast have to prepare.

I have posted a new video discussion and in it I talk about not only the coastal impacts but also the far-reaching impacts from Michael for areas away from the coast. The quick movement and intense nature of the hurricane at landfall could mean hurricane conditions all the way in to portions of the Carolinas. So while the rain and flood threat will NOT be anywhere near what Florence delivered almost a month ago, the potential for damaging wind, especially gusts, definitely exists.

I will be working throughout the day to place unmanned cameras and one weather station in the path of Michael. We have an app designed just for this – it’s called Hurricane Impact and is available both on iPhones and Android devices. On the App Store, search Hurricane Impact. For Google Play, click this link. The live cams will be active inside the app beginning later today. I can also post videos and other info right to the app – it’s an amazing tool and helps to support my work to keep you informed.

I’ll have another in-depth discussion posted here later this evening.